Aircraft order volatility drives the headline decline, while ex-transportation orders are forecast to rise 0.4 percent.
US durable goods orders are projected to decline 4.7 percent month-over-month, dragged down by volatile aircraft orders. The drop reflects a sharp pullback in factory hard goods demand after prior gains.
Excluding transportation, orders are expected to post a modest 0.4 percent increase, signaling underlying resilience in manufacturing activity. The data follows mixed trends in recent months, with prior prints showing uneven demand across sectors.
Markets will watch for revisions and core figures to gauge business investment trends amid broader economic uncertainty.