If you hold shares in the tax software giant, the market is pricing a future that could look radically different a year from now, and you already own that risk.
For shareholders of Intuit (INTU), the central question is whether the company’s new, fast-growing businesses can outrun the persistent troubles in its old core
It’s a high-stakes race, and the options market has priced a stunningly wide range of possible outcomes. If you own the stock, you’re sitting on that full, two-sided potential swing, whether you trade options or not. That priced-in uncertainty is not a subtle tremor.
Based on options expiring over the next year, the market is giving Intuit a 68% probability of finishing somewhere between a floor near $160 and a ceiling near $491.49. From today’s price of about $281.53, the path to that ceiling represents a 75% gain. The drop to the floor is a 43% decline.