Daily crude tanker transits remain below 10 vessels, far short of the 15 million barrels per day capacity before the conflict.
Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely constrained, with daily transits holding at 20-30% of pre-war levels. Recent data shows crude tankers limited to single digits, well below the 15 million barrels per day typically shipped before the conflict escalated.
Before the war, the strait handled roughly 30-40 vessels daily, including 15-20 crude oil tankers. Current figures show only 4-7 crude tankers passing through, despite an extended truce called by the US and Iran this week. Ship tracking sources indicate no significant improvement over the past two weeks.
The shortfall persists even when accounting for a potential “shadow fleet” of 10-20 additional vessels. Negotiations between the US and Iran have paused until after funeral ceremonies, offering little clarity on when normal traffic might resume.