SpaceX Valuation Faces Downgrade to Below $1 Trillion, Morningstar Says

Analysts question SpaceX's $1.75 trillion IPO valuation, citing $20 billion revenue and no profitability against peers. SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion IPO valuation may be overstated, with analysts suggesting the company could be worth less than half that figure. The aerospace fi

Analysts question SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion IPO valuation, citing $20 billion revenue and no profitability against peers.

SpaceX’s $1.75 trillion IPO valuation may be overstated, with analysts suggesting the company could be worth less than half that figure. The aerospace firm reported $20 billion in revenue but remains unprofitable, lacking EBITDA, margins, or dividends to justify its market cap near $2.44 trillion.

Comparable firms like RTX trade at $250 billion with a forward P/E of 27 and a $271 billion backlog, highlighting SpaceX’s unprecedented valuation gap. Bullish arguments center on Google’s $1 billion monthly compute contract and Starlink’s 9,600-satellite network spanning 164 countries.

Historical trends show IPOs often underperform in the near term, adding skepticism to SpaceX’s public debut. Analysts note the lack of profitability as a key risk for investors.

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