The bears may not be going anywhere on semiconductor stocks.
Quick insight: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) — which counts Nvidia (NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), and Broadcom (AVGO) as its top three holdings — has begun to form a head-and-shoulders stock pattern, according to Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace chart analysis (below)
The left shoulder took shape starting in mid-May, with the head forming in late June, and now the right shoulder has emerged. The pattern will be official if the ETF falls below the May 19 closing low of $543. The head-and-shoulders pattern is widely considered bearish, as it suggests that buyers are gradually losing control of the market for a particular stock or ETF.
During the formation of the left shoulder and head, buyers can still push prices to new highs. But the inability to push higher on the right shoulder suggests that buyer demand is beginning to weaken. Once sellers push the stock below the neckline, many traders interpret that move as evidence that the prior uptrend has ended and that a new downtrend may be emerging.