One Prediction Market Pegs SpaceX’s Chance of Closing Above $2 Trillion on Its IPO Day at 62% — but Investors Will Likely Regret Chasing History Although most investors are laser-focused on the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) hitting all-time…
ghs on the heels of artificial intelligence (AI) euphoria, 2026 is also shaping up to be the year of the mega-initial public offering (IPO). Possibly within the next two months, investors will be privy to the largest-ever IPO, SpaceX
Reports have pointed to SpaceX kicking off its IPO roadshow during the week of June 8, placing the debut of Elon Musk’s conglomerate in late June, or shortly thereafter. Prediction markets expect SpaceX to top $2 trillion on its IPO day SpaceX ties two of the stock market’s hottest trends together under one company: space and AI. McKinsey & Company estimates the global space economy will be worth $1.8 trillion by 2035, while PwC analysts foresee AI creating $15.7 trillion in worldwide economic value by 2030.
The various puzzle pieces that comprise SpaceX, including Falcon rockets, Starlink, AI start-up xAI, and social media platform X, should yield superior sales growth for the foreseeable future. According to Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market for real-time events, there’s now a 62% chance (as of May 10) of SpaceX trading above a $2 trillion valuation at the close of its first trading day. The likelihood of SpaceX topping a $2 trillion market cap on Polymarket has climbed steadily from 45% in early April.