US initial jobless claims 214K vs 210K expected US April S&P Global services index 51.3 vs 50.3 expected “Don’t rush me” Trump says when asked about Iran Trump says Iran is having a very hard time figuring out who their leader is Trump says he orders attack on any boat placing…
US initial jobless claims 214K vs 210K expected US April S&P Global services index 51.3 vs 50.3 expected “Don’t rush me” Trump says when asked about Iran Trump says Iran is having a very hard time figuring out who their leader is Trump says he orders attack on any boat placing mines in Strait of Hormuz Trump says he’s not anxious to end the war, he has all the time in the world Iran supreme leader says enemies have campaign to target national unity Iran deploys fresh mines in the Strait of Hormuz – report SNB vice chair: We have a greater willingness to intervene in the FX market Iran parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf resigns from negotiations – Israel report (denied) Canada March PPI +2.4% m/m vs +1.9% expected Pakistani officials blame blockade, not Iran divisions, for stalled talks Markets: Gold down $47 to $4690 US 10-year yields up 3.1 bps to 4.325% S&P 500 down 30 points, or 0.4% USD leads, NZD lags WTI crude oil up $4.00 to $96.96 In terms of the war, no one really knows what is going on. Trump keeps saying he’s waiting for a response from Iran on negotiating but Iran keeps saying they won’t negotiate until the blockade of Iran is lifted.
Meanwhile, there is a real war of words about unity as Trump and a report from Israel today highlighted turmoil but all of Iran’s top leaders said they were united. So it’s not clear if that’s some kind of psyop but the fact that Trump talks about it non-stop makes me suspicious that not all is as it appears. The spikes to the extremes of the day (highs in oil, lows in stocks) came after the Israel report that Iran’s parliamentary chief had quit negotiations.
There was also a brief report at the same time about Iran activating air defences and an Israeli strike but that was quickly halted and it was instead said to be a test of systems. There was a recovery from there but not completely. As for the economy, the comments from corporates have been mostly upbeat and the manufacturing side of the S&P Global PMI was particularly…