Madison Investments, an investment advisor, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter for the “Madison Large Cap Fund”.
A copy of the letter can be downloaded here
In the second quarter, U.S. stock market indices achieved their best performance since 2020, driven largely by a narrow group of Artificial Intelligence-related stocks. As in the pandemic’s early days, investors are fixated on who will benefit from AI, reminiscent of the late 1990s internet bubble. Against this backdrop, The Madison Large Cap Fund (class I) returned 8.4% in the second quarter of 2026, compared to a 15.2% increase in the S&P 500 Index.
The current market’s extreme narrowness is concerning, and history suggests this won’t persist. While AI is reshaping society and the economy, today’s winners may not remain so, and booms could lead to busts. Additionally, factors such as a volatile federal administration, growing budget deficits, inflation, high interest rates, and strained consumer finances will significantly impact the economy and stock market in the future.