Firms Lift One-Year Inflation Outlook to 3.7% in Q2

Cleveland Fed survey shows businesses raise inflation expectations by 0.6 percentage points from the prior quarter. Businesses surveyed by the Cleveland Fed now expect inflation to reach 3.7% over the next year, up from 3.1% in the first quarter. The increase marks the hig

Cleveland Fed survey shows businesses raise inflation expectations by 0.6 percentage points from the prior quarter.

Businesses surveyed by the Cleveland Fed now expect inflation to reach 3.7% over the next year, up from 3.1% in the first quarter. The increase marks the highest reading since the survey began tracking expectations in 2021.

The Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations polls a large, representative panel of companies quarterly. The prior quarter’s expectation stood at 3.1%, while the year-ago reading was 3.4%. The rise suggests growing concern among firms about persistent price pressures.

Markets may view the uptick as a signal of potential inflation stickiness, though no immediate market reaction was reported in the release.

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