ZEW economic sentiment index rebounds to 10.5, beating expectations, as geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz ease. German investor sentiment improved in June, with the ZEW economic sentiment index climbing to 10.5 from -10.2 in May, surpassing forecasts of -6.0. The
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The surprising US-Iran breakthrough last Thursday triggered a selloff in crude oil as traders started to unwind the hedges and positioned for lower prices on expectations of resumption of normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz in the coming months. As
US-Iran deal paves way to reopen Hormuz – BoJ hikes to 1.0% The US-Iran deal is in the spotlight after a series of overnight updates. The agreement has been virtually signed, ending the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and launching 60 day
Preliminary US-Iran agreement sparks relief rally A preliminary US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has ended the 4-month conflict. This agreement sparked a powerful relief rally across global markets. The FOMC presser will be closely watched for Kev
Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and five other firms commit to funding all electricity and grid needs for AI expansion. Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, Oracle, and xAI agreed to cover the full cost of electricity and grid infrastructure for their AI projects. The pledg
Analysts welcome US-Iran deal as positive for markets The US-Iran deal is expected to have a positive impact on risk assets, with emerging market equities and local currencies being the preferred expression of the trade. Oil prices are likely to face further downsi
Crude prices fell sharply after a 60-day deal to keep the Strait toll-free eased supply disruption fears in global markets. Crude oil futures plunged nearly 5% on Monday, hitting their lowest levels since the early stages of the U.S.-Iran conflict, after both nations confi
A 60-day ceasefire extension reopens the Strait of Hormuz A 60-day ceasefire extension has been signed by both parties, reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The original reason for the conflict, the nuclear weapons issue, remains open for negotiation. Both sides
Hedge funds reverse war premium trades as Iran deal progresses Hedge funds are adjusting their strategies in response to the US-Iran deal, reversing the war premium across various asset classes. The trade involves going long on bonds, short on the dollar, and investin
Gold’s 20-25% correction since Middle East tensions eased is seen as temporary, with structural drivers intact, Barclays says. Gold’s recent 20-25% decline, driven by a stronger dollar and higher yields amid Middle East tensions, is viewed as a positioning reset rather tha
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