A faltering labor market will snuff out any remaining discussion of Federal Reserve rate hikes this year, according to Samuel Tombs, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. The unemployment rate is projected to climb to 4.5% by December from 4.2% in June, eventual
A Federal Reserve governor warns another high core inflation reading may prompt near-term rate increases to curb persistent price pressures. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated the central bank may raise interest rates if upcoming core inflation data rema
In 7 Words, Kevin Warsh Just Sent the Clearest Signal Yet About Where Interest Rates Are Headed in 2026 With his tenure just about a month and a half old, new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has been fairly tight-lipped about his views on the economy and where he thinks...
Martin Priestley/Getty Images European dealmaking was more durable than its global counterparts in the second quarter of this year, holding up amid a wave of geopolitical uncertainty that hit other major markets much harder. European M&A value fell 6.4% QoQ in Q2 to $344 b
XAU/USD falls 1.44% as US-Iran clashes boost crude prices and reinforce expectations of a 50 bps Fed tightening by 2025. Gold prices dropped Monday as escalating US-Iran hostilities drove crude oil higher and revived inflation concerns, strengthening bets on a Federal Rese
June retail inflation breached the Reserve Bank of India’s 4% target, fueling expectations of monetary tightening in the second half of FY27. India’s retail inflation rose to 4.38% in June, marking the first time in 16 months it has exceeded the central bank’s 4% target. T
CME FedWatch Tool shows 81.9% probability of Fed funds rate exceeding current range by December 2026, citing labor and inflation pressures. Investors are advised to maintain a long-term strategy as Federal Reserve minutes suggest a potential interest rate hike in 2026. The
High-yield certificates of deposit remain near multi-decade peaks following the Federal Reserve’s 2025 rate cuts and 2026 pause. The highest-yielding certificates of deposit offer 4.10% annual percentage yield as of July 13, 2026, led by Marcus by Goldman Sachs’ 14-month t
USD/INR extends losses amid geopolitical risks, higher oil prices, and a 33% chance of a July Fed rate hike. The Indian Rupee extended losses against the US dollar as escalating US-Iran tensions disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic, pushing oil prices higher. The geopolitica
New York Fed President Williams links potential rate increases to sustained core PCE inflation above 0.2% in H2 2024. New York Fed President John Williams indicated he would support rate hikes if monthly core PCE inflation averages above 0.2% in the second half of 2024. Hi
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