Punters on Polymarket are all but certain that Anthropic’s valuation will breach $1 trillion by the end of the year.
The prediction market puts the odds of a valuation topping $1.1 trillion at 97%, and even the $1.25 trillion threshold at 92%, reflecting how firmly a thirteen-figure price tag is now assumed
The more interesting action sits further up the ladder, where the disagreement actually lives. A leap to $1.75 trillion is priced at a coin-flip 50%, while $2 trillion is given a 39% chance and $2.5 trillion a still-punchy 32%. Those are the numbers doing the real work, because they price not whether Anthropic is a giant but how fast it keeps compounding.
The context explains the confidence. The AI developer’s most recent private round in May valued it at $965 billion, already brushing against the trillion-dollar mark. That funding capped an extraordinary run, with the valuation climbing from around $61 billion in early 2025 through $183 billion, then $380 billion, in barely more than a year.