Traders on Kalshi assign 54% odds to two of three Mamdani-endorsed candidates winning congressional primaries today.
Prediction market traders on Kalshi expect New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s political influence to secure victories for two of his three endorsed candidates in today’s congressional primaries. The platform assigns a 54% probability that former Comptroller Brad Lander and Assemblywoman Claire Valdez will win, while Darializa Avila Chevalier loses.
Lander, a Mamdani ally, is challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman in NY-10, a race shaped by Goldman’s stance on Israel. Combo contracts on Kalshi also reflect a 28% chance of all three candidates winning and a 20% chance of only Lander prevailing. Outcomes will be verified by the New York State Board of Elections.
These markets operate independently of traditional polling, relying on speculative trading rather than survey-based methodologies.