April PMI falls to 50.5, the lowest in months, as freight disruptions from the Iran conflict hit orders and deliveries. New Zealand’s manufacturing sector barely expanded in April, with the Performance of Manufacturing Index dropping to 50.5 from 52.8 in March. The reading
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President signals caution on inflation despite recent progress toward the 2% target. Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams refrained from declaring inflation under control, citing persistent above-target price pressures.
U.S. Treasury yields suggest the Federal Reserve’s current policy rate is insufficient to curb inflation above its 2% target. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield has climbed above the federal funds rate, a signal bond investors interpret as the Fed needing to tighten monetary p
UOB’s Senior Economist Alvin Liew notes that United States (US) inflation pressures have broadened beyond energy, with April Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) both reaccelerating and core measures drifting further above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Scott Bessent predicts core inflation will decline despite recent hot prints, citing easing energy supply shocks ahead of Kevin Warsh's Fed tenure. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects a significant disinflation trend to emerge after one or two more elevated inflation
Kansas City Fed President emphasizes persistent inflation risks and resilient growth, supporting prolonged restrictive monetary policy. Kansas City Fed President Schmid stated inflation remains too high, posing the most pressing risk to the U.S. economy. Despite strong eco
Higher-than-expected inflation data prompts projections for a 3.9 to 4.2 percent cost-of-living adjustment in 2027. U.S. inflation accelerated to 3.9 percent year-over-year in April, exceeding the 2.8 percent Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) recipients rece
The CPI data showed inflation is quite broad-based Inflation is due not just to the price of gasoline. The CPI data showed inflation is quite broad-based, encompassing shelter and food On top of that, as Mish has been pointing out, real average earnings have been fa
US Retail Sales rise 0.5% in April as expected Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.5% on a monthly basis in April to $757.1 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This reading followed the 1.6% increase (revised from 1.7%) recorded in March and ca
April retail sales growth aligned with expectations, slowing from March’s revised 1.6% gain as consumer spending moderates. U.S. retail sales increased 0.5% month-over-month in April to $757.1 billion, matching consensus estimates but decelerating from March’s revised 1.6%
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