Danske Research Team expects the ECB to raise its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.25% on June 11, in line with market pricing and consensus. They highlight upside surprises in core inflation and higher Oil futures, alongside weaker Euro area growth They see updated staff
Analysts forecast consolidation between 159.20 and 160.30 as upward momentum in the pair weakens. USD/JPY recovered to close near 160.00 after a sharp intraday drop, erasing earlier losses. The pair’s upward momentum has faded, signaling a potential pause in its recent ral
Australia’s trade balance swung to a surplus, supporting the AUD as the pair climbed 0.08% to 0.7135. The Australian Dollar gained ground against the USD, trading at 0.7135, up 0.08% after Australia’s trade balance returned to surplus. The shift provided modest support ami
April trade data shows a rebound to a A$1,791M surplus, boosting the Australian Dollar amid RBA policy expectations. The Australian Dollar rose modestly after trade data revealed a A$1,791M surplus in April, reversing a revised A$1,024M deficit in March. Exports surged 7.2
Eurozone retail sales fell 0.4% in April, but a weaker USD and geopolitical optimism lift the EUR/USD pair. The Euro climbed to 1.1630 against the US Dollar in European trading, reversing losses despite weaker-than-expected Eurozone retail sales data. A 0.4% decline in Apr
April’s decline in Eurozone retail sales signals weaker consumer demand, pressuring EUR and raising growth concerns. Eurozone retail sales dropped 0.4% in April, exceeding the expected 0.3% contraction. The decline follows a revised 0.8% gain in March, which was sharply hi
Markets now price a 75% chance of a 25bps Fed rate increase to 3.75-4.00% by year-end, bolstering the Dollar. The US Dollar strengthened as markets priced in a 75% probability of a 25bps Federal Reserve rate hike to 3.75-4.00% by year-end. Labor market stability and rising
USD/CAD pares losses near 1.3900 after Israel-Lebanon ceasefire progress eases geopolitical risks, though Fed hike bets cap gains. The Canadian Dollar trimmed losses against the US Dollar on Thursday, rebounding from an eight-week low as optimism over Middle East peace tal
Persistent US-Iran tensions and delayed Strait of Hormuz reopening keep oil prices elevated, supporting the USD despite Bank of Japan rate hike signals. The USD/JPY pair remains bid as geopolitical risks in the Middle East counterbalance hawkish comments from Bank of Japan
Investors price in a June ECB rate increase while weighing potential Bank of Japan currency intervention risks. EUR JPY climbed to 185.85, up 0.12% on Thursday, as markets bet on further European Central Bank tightening. The pair gained amid expectations of a June rate hik
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