FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US dollar has been supported since the last FOMC decision but as the hawkish repricing reached a near-term peak, the momentum waned as traders shifted their focus to the key US data. Right now, the market is pricing in a 29% chance of a rate h
Traders reduce USD positions before June Nonfarm Payrolls, lifting EUR/USD to 1.1407 despite broader bearish trends. The EUR/USD pair climbed to 1.1407 on Thursday as investors trimmed US Dollar long positions ahead of the June Nonfarm Payrolls report. The move follows a 2
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the US Nonfarm Payrolls release is unlikely to have the market impact it once did, even as recent JOLTS data point to improving hiring and fewer layoffs. He argues that higher volatility in payrolls and the Federal Reserve’s current fo
Softer Eurozone inflation and ECB policy divisions drive EUR/GBP down 0.21% to 0.8550 on Thursday. EUR/GBP fell 0.21% to 0.8550 on Thursday as the Euro weakened against the British Pound. The decline followed softer Eurozone inflation data, reinforcing expectations of a mo
EUR/GBP trades around 0.8550 on Thursday, down 0.21% on the day, as the Euro (EUR) remains under pressure against the British Pound (GBP) after another batch of data reinforced expectations of a more cautious European Central Bank (ECB). A sharper-than-expected slowdown in
The Japanese Yen (JPY) staged a sharp rebound against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, raising speculation about potential action by the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF). The USD/JPY chart accelerated its reversal from 40-year highs near 163.00, finding support at a previo
Societe Generale highlights that state-controlled banks in India have been actively selling Dollars for a second day after USD/INR briefly moved above its 50-day moving average. The report notes that supportive factors such as FPI debt inflows and lower Oil and Gold prices
Frantisek Taborsky at ING notes diverging PMI signals in Central Europe, with strong Czech sentiment and weaker Poland, but still expects Polish growth above 3% in 2026. Softer Polish inflation and a potentially dovish National Bank of Poland outlook are reflected in modes
Eurozone Unemployment Rate supports EUR The Euro remains stronger against the Canadian Dollar following the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate. The rate came in at 6.2% in May, beating the 6.3% expectation. The EUR/CAD pair rose after two days of los
Regulatory action highlights risks in pooled cross-border payment systems for investors and fintech firms. Thai authorities have frozen USD 600 million in assets linked to an alleged cyber scam, raising concerns about cross-border FX settlement risks. The dispute centers o
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