Markets Doubt Fed’s Inflation Resolve as Long-Term Yields Surge

Investors push Treasury yields to 16-year highs, signaling skepticism over the Fed's ability to control inflation without further action. Long-dated Treasury yields jumped to their highest levels since 2007 after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reiterated the central ban

Investors push Treasury yields to 16-year highs, signaling skepticism over the Fed’s ability to control inflation without further action.

Long-dated Treasury yields jumped to their highest levels since 2007 after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reiterated the central bank’s 2% inflation target. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.2%, up 37 basis points this year, reflecting investor concerns over the Fed’s credibility in delivering on its promises.

Bank of America economists criticized Warsh’s remarks as lacking substance, noting his evasive responses and dovish undertones. They warned that markets may not tolerate tough rhetoric without concrete policy moves, predicting a 25 basis point hike in September and two more in 2026 to restore confidence.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 48 basis points year-to-date to 4.64%, underscoring growing fears that the Fed’s stance may not be enough to curb inflation. Bond yields, which move inversely to prices, have surged as traders price in prolonged uncertainty.

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