Prediction markets give Nvidia a 70% chance to remain the world’s most valuable company by July’s end, despite Apple briefly overtaking it.
Nvidia Corp remains the favorite to end July as the world’s most valuable company, with a 70% probability on prediction platform Polymarket. Apple Inc trails at 29%, following a brief overtaking last week when its market cap reached $4.8 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.92 trillion.
The shift follows a sharp sell-off in semiconductor and AI stocks, which reshuffled rankings. Nvidia had led since June 2025 and became the first company to cross $5 trillion in October. Apple, up over 22% this year, has benefited from lighter AI spending amid the chip sector’s downturn.
Nvidia shares fell nearly 4% at Friday’s open before recovering, as investors questioned the returns on AI infrastructure investments. The filing for IPOs by OpenAI and Anthropic has added to market uncertainty.