US CPI Cools Sharply in June, USD Slides as Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise

June headline CPI fell to 3.5% year-over-year, below forecasts, marking the softest monthly core reading since January 2021. US consumer prices rose 3.5% year-over-year in June, down from 4.2% in May and below the 3.8% consensus forecast. Monthly headline CPI fell 0.4%, wh

June headline CPI fell to 3.5% year-over-year, below forecasts, marking the softest monthly core reading since January 2021.

US consumer prices rose 3.5% year-over-year in June, down from 4.2% in May and below the 3.8% consensus forecast. Monthly headline CPI fell 0.4%, while core inflation was unchanged, its weakest print since January 2021.

The data follows a spring rebound in inflation and contrasts with May’s higher-than-expected readings. Core CPI eased to 2.6% year-over-year from 2.9%, also undershooting expectations.

The USD weakened sharply after the release, as traders priced in a higher probability of Fed rate cuts later this year. Crude oil prices briefly dipped following the data.

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