Quick Read – MSFT is down 19% YTD despite Azure growing 40% and AI revenue hitting a $37 billion annualized run rate. – Wall Street’s consensus target sits at $561 with 95% of analysts bullish, while a more conservative model targets $500 applying a mega-cap dampener. -…
crosoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) has quietly built a $37 billion AI business, yet the stock has done the opposite of what you would expect. Shares of Microsoft closed at $390.49, down 18.9% YTD, while Azure grew 40% and commercial backlog nearly doubled to $627 billion
Satya Nadella runs one of the most profitable software franchises ever assembled. So why is the stock below where it started the year? And can it climb to $500 by July 2027?
The Real Reason Microsoft Is Down 18.9% This Year MSFT peaked near $520 in August 2025 and has not recovered. Shares are down 11.52% over the past month, 18.9% YTD, and 19.85% over one year. The drawdown exceeds what a beta of 1.13 would suggest.