Blockchain-based derivatives and prediction markets price SpaceX at $1.8 trillion-$2.1 trillion, exceeding its current $1.77 trillion valuation.
SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq IPO is drawing a $2 trillion valuation from onchain derivatives and prediction markets, surpassing its latest private valuation of $1.77 trillion. Polymarket and Ventuals, which track pre-IPO price discovery, show traders pricing the company in the $1.8 trillion-$2.1 trillion range, with a 64% chance of closing above $2 trillion on its first trading day.
The company’s current valuation stands at $1.77 trillion, but market expectations suggest a higher debut. Polymarket assigns only a 5% probability of SpaceX closing above $3 trillion, indicating cautious optimism rather than extreme bullishness.
Analysts note the IPO could test theories about capital flows, as some attribute recent crypto market weakness to risk capital shifting toward SpaceX. A successful debut may redirect liquidity back into bitcoin and altcoins.