PBOC Fixes Yuan Reference Rate at 6.8150, Above Forecasts

Today’s yuan midpoint sets 0.5% weaker than Reuters’ estimate, signaling potential depreciation pressure on the currency. The People’s Bank of China set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8150, compared with a Reuters poll estimate of 6.7819. The fix allows the yuan to

Today’s yuan midpoint sets 0.5% weaker than Reuters’ estimate, signaling potential depreciation pressure on the currency.

The People’s Bank of China set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8150, compared with a Reuters poll estimate of 6.7819. The fix allows the yuan to trade within a 2% band around the midpoint, a mechanism unchanged since 2014.

The 331-pip deviation from expectations marks the largest miss in three months, following a prior fix of 6.7944. Analysts had anticipated a modest strengthening amid recent dollar weakness and stabilizing capital flows.

No immediate market reaction was reported, though offshore yuan futures edged lower in early trade.

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