Nvidia’s median returns after earnings rise from 0.3% after one day to 87.6% over one year, data since 2016 shows.
Nvidia’s stock performance after earnings has historically favored longer holding periods over short-term trades. Since 2016, the median gain has been just 0.3% after one day but climbs to 87.6% over one year, according to historical data.
Short-term returns have been modest, with median gains of 3.3% after one week and 0.4% after one month. Win rates also improve over time, with the stock finishing higher 55% of the time after one day and 60% after one week.
Options markets are pricing in a 6% post-earnings move, exceeding Nvidia’s typical daily volatility. However, the stock’s historical unpredictability in the immediate aftermath of earnings has made short-term trading challenging.